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Predictions Under Uncertainty

Fish Assemblages and Food Webs on the Grand Banks of Newfoundland

Manuel do Carmo Gomes , Memorial University of Newfoundland. Institute of Social and Economic Research

Business & Economics / Commercial Policy

Gomes, a biologist, draws on a study of commercial fish assemblages on the Grand Banks of Newfoundland to illustrate how uncertainty about the structure of ecological models confounds attempts to predict community dynamics over time; concluding that new adaptive management strategies may be needed to deal with this inherent uncertainty.
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